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Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Back to Work!

Tonight (Tuesday) please complete the following from your "Chapter 13 Project: Teaching Yourself Experiments" questions: 

 1abc, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10, 16

And since this is the first homework of the new quarter it counts double!

If you lost your copy of the questions (or you were out) you can find them under our classroom powerpoints and assignments link OR in the blog post below!

If you're feeling ambitious feel free to answer more of these questions! You will have some to answer each night, so if you do them all today you'll have a lot of your homework done for the remainder of the week!


Thursday, January 26, 2017

Next Week's HW and Grades in!

Midterm exam grades and quarter grades are in! 

  • Please double check your stamp grades! If the total is not correct, send me a Remind or email by Monday (carofano.fm@easthartford.org)
  • Your exam grade correlates to your predicted score on the AP Exam!
    • A = projected 5, B = projected 4, C = projected 3, D = projected 2, F = projected 1
    • Further, the numeric score gives you an idea of how close you were to earning the next highest score
      • For instance, if you got an 88, you are projected to earn a 4 but were close to getting a 5!
  • We will discuss this all more moving forward




Next week (Tues, Wed, Thurs) you will have to teach yourself chapter 13 for homework!
  • Each night you will be given certain questions to answer based on reading your textbook (ch 13)
  • You may also be given a textbook problem or two to do along with the questions you answer!
    • So, the more you get done this weekend, the easier your week will be!
  • If you'd like to get a head start--and maybe do all of this work this weekend, so you have a lot less to worry about next week--all of the questions you'll have to answer are uploaded under the "Classroom Powerpoints and Assignments" link on the right!
    • You can either print out a copy of these questions using the word document from the classroom powerpoints and assignments link...
    • Or you can record all of this information in your notes...
    • Or you can stop by and grab a hard copy of these if you're in school tomorrow or Monday...
    • Or you can wait until Tuesday and just do the assigned homework each night!
Or, you can find the questions for next week here:

Read the chapter (13) and complete each of the questions below. Remember, this is for your benefit; the more thorough your notes/responses are, the better prepared we will be! This will be counted as a classwork grade!
·         These questions only serve as an outline to help guide your reading. Of course you can take additional notes to strengthen your understanding!

1.       There are two types of observational studies—retrospective and prospective studies.
a.       What is a retrospective observational study?
b.      What is a prospective observational study?
c.       What is matching in an observational study? (page 305).
2.       In an experiment where does the random assignment occur?
3.       What is/are the factor(s), levels, and treatment(s) in an experiment? Define each.
4.       What is the response variable?
5.       What distinguishes an experiment from the other methods of data collection? In other words, how is an experiment different than a simulation, sample survey, and observational study? (This is in your notes from our first day on “methods of data collection….”)
6.       Describe/comment on each of the four principles of experimental design:
a.       Control:
b.      Randomize:
c.       Replicate:
d.      Block:
7.       What sampling method is equivalent to blocking in an experiment?
8.       *Be sure to read through the step-by-step examples in the chapter; these are the examples we would have discussed for our notes in class!
9.       Complete each of the “just checking” questions on page 301 (parts a-e). Record your answers/work below.
10.   Explain the meaning of “statistically significant.”
11.   What is a control treatment/control group?
12.   What does it mean for an experiment to be single-blind or double-blind?
13.   What is a placebo? Why do we use placebos?
14.   Complete the “just checking” questions on the bottom of page 305 (parts a-c). Record your answers/work below.
15.   What does it mean for two variables to be confounded?
16.   In your own words summarize the procedure for the tomato/fertilizer experiment diagrammed the bottom of  page 299.
17.   Now look at the blocked version of this tomato/fertilizer experiment diagrammed on page 305. In your own words, how is this blocked version of the experiment different from the original version (on page 299)?
18.   Finally, examine the diagram of the 2-factor version of the tomato/fertilizer experiment on page 306. What are the two factors being manipulated here? For this experiment, describe/identify each of the following:
a.       Factors (2):
b.      Levels (for each factor):   
c.       Treatment groups (6):
19.   Note the vocabulary list on page 310-312. This list shows the words that you are responsible to know! 


So here's the plan when we're back...
  • Tuesday = discuss exams, AP stuff, and bias!
  • Wednesday = bias and sampling wrap up
  • Thursday = experimental design
  • Friday = experimental design!

Friday, January 20, 2017

Study, study, study, stuuuudyyy........stuuuuuuuuuuuudy! (Updated again Saturday)

This weekend and upcoming week are all about the midterm exam! It is essential that you prepare yourself to succeed on your midterm! The midterm exam is a mini AP exam, so it gives us our first "real" prediction about how we might score in May! Prepare yourself just as you will for the AP Exam! I'm looking forward to you all making me proud next week! :) 
  • There is an outline of the midterm exam topics under the "Classroom Powerpoints and Assignments" link on the right! (60 min = 28 MC, 60 min = 5 FR)
    • Look over this list and identify your strengths and weaknesses!
    • Then, use your Barron's book to review/practice the skills you need to work on!
      • Use the table of contents to find specific topics and review/practice those skills!
    • Then, use some practice exams in the back of the book to get ready for the AP Exam!
  • Here's a list of the questions you can do for Practice Exam 1 in the back of your Barron's book:
    • MC: 1,2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 10, 13, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21, 24, 25, 27, 28, 30, 31, 33, 34, 38, 40
    • FR: 1
  • You can also do the following from the free-response section of Practice Exam 2:
    • FR: 2, 3, 5
  • Here are some other suggestions/ideas for studying:
    • Look over your unit tests! These tests summarize many of the "main ideas" from each chapter!
    • Look over your past quizzes!
    • Read through your notes--maybe even create an outline (handwritten/typed) that summarizes all of your notes! Then you'll be doing lots of studying by creating the outline, and you'll have the outline to read over on the bus or as you walk to school or whenever you have free time! (This is how I studied for lots of stuff in college)
      • You'll also have this outline to look back at for the AP exam!
    • Work with your classmates/friends--have a study group hangout!
      • Some of the things you need help in might be a friend's strength (and vise versa)! Work together and help each other!
    • Watch AP Stats Guy (and other) videos to refresh your memory on various concepts!
    • Go to the link below for all of the released Free Response with their scoring rubrics!


Update After I Finalized Our Exams -- A Few Specifics to Study....

  • I just put the finishing touches our our midterm (it's a masterpiece)!
  • Here are some specific things you should be sure to review that may not have shown up in our midterm review stamps--this is NOT a list of all the content on your exam, just some specifics you definitely want to review!
    • Be sure you know the difference between stratifed, cluster, and simple random samples and how to write "procedures" for each
      • Look over the 2011 Free Response we discussed in class on Friday (about apartments)--look at the rubric online! (link above)
    • Study normalcdf (to find % or probabilities) and invnorm (to find a cutoff for a given percentile)!
    • Shifting and Rescaling!
    • Be sure you know how to create stemplots (or back to back stemplots), boxplots, and histograms!
    • Combining random variables to find a "new" standard deviation--Pythagorean Theorem of Stats!
    • What is standard deviation? What does it measure?
    • Know how to interpret slope, y-intercept, and R^2!
    • Review leverage, residual, and influential points!
    • Calculate residuals! (or, find an actual value given an equation and a residual)
    • Know how to determine if a linear model is appropriate
    • Study all of your probability!
      • Conditional, expected value, binomial/geometric, look over the "airlines" problem (a stamp)
    • Review all of your sampling methods (again) based on our sub work!
    • Be sure you understand the "number breakdowns" for simulating with a random number table!
    • Understand what population a sample represents!
    • Be sure you can create a scatterplot given some data and describe the association seen in a scatterplot!
    • Practice writing everything in context--be specific and detailed, but also be concise! No fluff or "extra stuff!"


And finally, remember....
  • Stamps are due by the day of your exam! (but just get them in tomorrow!)
    • Count up your stamps...twice (double check)
    • Fasten them together/put them in an envelope/bag/something...
    • Write your name and the total on the front
    • Double check!
    • I will randomly select 5 or 6 students per class and double check your count...if it's off you get a 0!

Thursday, January 19, 2017

Last Homework of the Quarter!

Tonight, please complete the problems below (in your textbook or on the handout provided in class)--our last homework assignment for the quarter!

Page 290: 11, 12, 13, 15, 27

**And since this is our last homework assignment of the quarter it's going to count double!**

Here's some more stuff to keep in mind....


  • Stamps are due by the day of your exam! (but just get them in tomorrow!)
    • Count up your stamps...twice (double check)
    • Fasten them together/put them in an envelope/bag/something...
    • Write your name and the total on the front
    • Double check!
    • I will randomly select 5 or 6 students per class and double check your count...if it's off you get a 0!
  • There is an outline of the midterm exam topics under the "Classroom Powerpoints and Assignments" link on the right!
    • Look over this list and identify your strengths and weaknesses!
    • Then, use your Barron's book to review/practice the skills you need to work on!
      • Use the table of contents to find specific topics!
    • Then, use some practice exams in the back of the book to get ready for the AP Exam!
      • Here's a list of the questions you can do for Practice Exam 1 in the back of your Barron's book:
        • MC: 1,2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 10, 13, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21, 24, 25, 27, 28, 30, 31, 33, 34, 38, 40
        • FR: 1
      • You can also do the following from the free-response section of Practice Exam 2:
        • 2, 3, 5
And lastly, here are the homework answers so you can check (of course they're also in the back of the book...)
  • 11.) Parent Opinion, Part 1
    • a. Voluntary Response Sample; 
    • b. Cluster Sample (but not a good idea); 
    • c. Attempted Census; 
    • d. Stratified Sample
  • 12.) Parent Opinion, Part 2
    • a. Voluntary Response Sample; 
    • b. Voluntary Response Sample (b/c only those who choose to attend will respond); 
    • c. Cluster Sample (maybe multi-stage, if we consider each school a strata, then we consider a classroom within a school a cluster); 
    • d. Systematic Sample
  • 13.) Churches
    • a. Multi-stage (start with cluster by randomly choosing 3 churches, but then SRS from each cluster that was selected); 
    • b. If any of the 3 churches you pick are not representative of all churches, then your sample will not be representative of the population. Also, if we choose 100 people from each church, we may over-represent larger churches or under-represent smaller churches, and people from large/small churches may have differing views.
  • 15.) Roller Coasters
    • a. Systematic Sample
    • b. This sample would not represent all people at the park (parkgoers). Since we only sampled people in line, we might over-represent people who do not mind waiting (as they clearly don't mind staying in line).
  • 27.) Accounting
    • a. Could use a simple random sample...
      • Put the name/number of all 120 orders on a piece of paper...
      • Put these names/numbers in a hat
      • Mix up the papers (randomize).
      • Select 10 papers and check those 10 transactions to see if they were processed properly.
      • ORRRRR...
        • Number each order from 001 - 120 (or 1 - 120).
        • Use a random number generator to generate 10 random numbers from 1 - 120, ignoring repeated numbers.
        • Check the 10 orders whose numbers were generated to see if they were processed properly.
    • b. If we had wholesale and retail sales we should now use a stratified sample...
      • Split the orders into strata--wholesale orders and retail orders
      • Then, randomly select some number of wholesale and some number of retail orders (we want our sample to reflect the proportions of wholesale/retail orders amongst all 120 orders).

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

Sub Work Tomorrow/Wednesday HW!

Three more days of hard work before our exam! (Well, three days of work in class...of course you'll be working hard on your own to prepare for the midterm!)

Remember, there is an outline of the topics on our midterm exam under the "Classroom Powerpoints and Assignments" link on the right!

  • Then use your Barron's book for lots of practice!
Tonight (Tuesday) "Homework":
  • Remember, stamps are due on the day of your exam!
    • But....you can turn them in early!
    • If I were you I would count up all my stamps, record the total on the front, and turn them in on Thursday--then you're done with them!
      • Remember to double check your counting, as I will randomly sample 5 students from each class to double check! 
      • If you're total is wrong you get a 0!
  • Study for your midterms!
  • And if you didn't do the extra credit from the weekend homework (check your answers) you can do so for Thursday!
    • Read the blog post below!

Tomorrow in class you will be given some new notes about sampling methods; then you will complete some short answer and some multiple choice questions regarding these methods!
  • First you will be given an outline of the sampling methods; you should read through this, summarize the info, and record it into your notebook in your own words
    • I will check for these notes (in your notebook) when I return on Thursday! This will count as a classwork grade!
  • Next, you will have some short answer and multiple choice questions--identifying sampling methods.
    • Both classwork assignments will be collected and graded.
  • Finally, you will have 10 multiple choice questions for homework!

Finally, if you're feeling super ambitious tomorrow (Wednesday) night, here's Thursday night's homework--our last homework assignment for the quarter!

Page 290: 11, 12, 13, 15, 27

*I will give you a handout with these questions in class on Thursday as well. 



Friday, January 13, 2017

Weekend HW--Updated Monday with EC Opportunity!

This weekend please complete the two midterm review "stamp problems" (but they're not stamps anymore) and the sampling questions provided in class (or below)!



And here are the homework answers so you can check yours--of course we want to make sure we're practicing correctly when we study!

**If you check over your answers and make any corrections/comments on your original response you can earn homework extra credit! Just show evidence (notes) that you checked over all of your reponses!**

Stamp: Linear Regression (Given Computer Output):
  • Slope: According to the linear model, for each additional 1 hour a student spends studying, his/her predicted final exam score increases by approximately 2.697 points.
  • Y-Intercept: According to the LSRL, if a students studies for 0 hours (if a student does not study), his/her predicted final exam score is roughly 62.328. (This is realistic).
  • Coefficient of Determination = R^2: According to this model, about 56.7% of the variation in exam score can be explained by the changes in study hours. Other factors might include the student's course grade/performance and the difficulty of the exam.
  • Residual = Actual - Predicted
    • Actual score = 84
    • Predicted score = 62.328 + 2.697(6) = 78.51
    • Residual = 84 - 78.51 = 5.49.
    • (This residual tells that we underestimated the final exam score for a student who studied for 6 hours by 5.49 points; remember, a positive residual is an underestimate).
Stamp: Probability (Spinner Question)
  • a.) P(lands on # divisible by 3) = 3/10 = 0.3
    • We have 3 numbers divisible by three on the spinner: 3, 6, and 9 out of 10 total sections.
  • b.) P(all 6 spins land on a # divisible by 3) = (0.3) ^ 6 = 0.000729
    • Remember, 7.29E-4 means you have to move the decimal 4 places to the left; this is the calculators form of scientific notation
    • If you're stuck, write it out in words! 
      • "divisible by 3" and "divisible by 3" and "divisible by 3" and......
  • c.) P(not all 6 spins are divisible by 3) = 1 - (0.3)^6 = 0.999271
    • Focus on the question..."not all 6 spins are divisible by 3"
    • Not = 1 - 
    • First, we'll find the probability "all spins are divisible by 3" 
    • Then, since we want "NOT all spins are divisible by 3" we'll subtract this answer from 1!
    • On our probability test many students tried this: (0.7)^6; this is incorrect, because this represents the probability that all the spins are not divisible by 3, which is a different situation
      • "not all divisible by 3" means they are not all divisible by 3; in other words, 0,1,2,3,4 or 5 spins can be divisible by 3, just not all of them
      • "all not divisible by 3" means all of the spins are not divisible by 3; in other words, none are divisible by 3!
  • d.) P(spin 50 times and at most 10 spins divisible by 3) = bincomcdf(50, 0.3, 10) = 0.0789
    • Remember binomcdf is used for "cumulative" probabilities, or numbers of outcomes "below" or "to the left" of what we enter for our x value (10 in this case)
    • Binompdf would give us the probability that exactly 10 spins land on a number divisible by 3....
  • e.) P(first spin divisible by 3 is 4th spin) = (0.7)^3 * (0.3) = 0.1029
    • OR, geometpdf(0.3, 4) = 0.1029
    • If you're stuck here, just go back to your words!
      • "not divisible by 3" and "not divisible by 3" and "not divisible by 3" and "divisible by 3"
Sampling Context: The Gallup Poll and TV...
  • Population = all American citizens
  • Population Parameter of Interest = % of all American citizens who identify each type of content that bothers them the most (% of all American citizens who are bothered by violence, by language, or by sexual situations)
  • Sampling Frame: all American citizens with a phone
  • Sample: the 1,475 Americans who were randomly called and surveyed
  • Sampling Method: randomly generated phone numbers (this is a simple random sample, which is essentially "pulling names out of a hat"
  • Yes, we can generalize our results to the population of "all American citizens" because the sample was collected randomly (simple random sample) and therefore should be representative of the population.

This is also a great time to start studying for your midterm!
  • Use your Barron's book! Look over different topics we've learned and try a practice exam!
  • Look over your take home test (passed back today) and figure out anything that was incorrect!
  • Use your notes to review!
  • Look at the outline of topics under the classroom powerpoints and assignments link on the right!
Tuesday in class we'll get back to our sampling methods! See you there!

Then, on Wednesday we'll have some classwork to do (I will be absent unfortunately) that will be graded. Finally, on Thursday and Friday we'll talk more about sampling and bias before the midterm! See you there!

Have an awesome 3 day weekend!


Thursday, January 12, 2017

Thursday HW!

Tonight please complete the "Pop Quiz: Sample Surveys" worksheet provided in class! (It's not really a quiz though). 

Tomorrow we'll quickly go over our homework and get back to our chapter 12 notes! See you there!

Here's the homework in case you lost yours or were out:

  • 1. Employees of Fenway Park plans to survey people who have been to the park and ask, “How would you rate your experience at Fenway Park (using a scale of 1-10 as a quantitative measure)?” During one baseball game, the employees randomly select 1,000 seat numbers and survey these 1,000 people at the park. 
    • Identify each of the following:
      • Sample
      • Sampling Frame
      • Population
      • Population Parameter of Interest
      • Sampling Method 
  • 2. For each scenario below identify the population parameter of interest. Within your answer define the context in detail, and clearly identify what the population is.
    • A meteorologist plans to take a random sample of 30 towns in CT and record the amount of rainfall over the past year. 
    • A psychologist takes a random sample of 5,000 students from colleges/universities across the country and asks, “Do you remember the dream you had last night?” 
If you're looking for some more help/explanation about the homework (or if you were out today), read the blog post below!


Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Wednesday HW!

Tonight please complete the "Analyzing Contexts" homework provided in class (there's no title on the paper though) or below!

Homework:

  • For each statistical study below identify the following:
    • The population: the population is the "whole group" that we're trying to generalize to
      • Think: what "big group" does our sample of people represent?
    • The population parameter of interest: the parameter of interest is the "number" that we're trying to figure out! (this will likely be a percentage or mean)
      • Think about the data you're collecting...
      • If you're collecting categorical data, the parameter of interest is a percentage
      • If you're collecting quantitative data, the parameter of interest is a mean (average)
    • The sampling frame: sampling frame refers to all of the possible people/things that could have been sampled
    • The sample: the sample refers to the actual group of people/things that we sampled, or the group of people/things that we actually got our data from!
    • The sampling method: in your own words (no fancy vocab...yet) describe how they chose their sample of people/things
    • Potential sources of bias or problems in generalizing: Consider this study--are there any major issues/flaws in the way this data was collected? Describe any issues/problems that might arise with this method of data collection
      • Bias exists if some group of people or some response is over or under represented in a sample...
      • So, think about this (for each scenario)--would some response/group be over or under represented with this sampling method? Who? Why?
  1. A question posted on the Lycos Web site on 18 June 2000 asked visitors to the site to say whether they thought that marijuana should be legally available for medicinal purposes. 
  2. Hoping to learn what issues may resonate with voters in the coming election, the campaign director for a mayoral candidate selects one block from each of the city’s election districts. Staff members go there and interview all the residents they can find.
  3. Dairy inspectors visit farms unannounced and take samples of the milk to test for contamination. If the milk is found to contain dirt, antibiotics, or other foreign matter, the milk will be destroyed and the farm re-inspected until purity is restored.
Here's an example you can use for some help:

Context: Researches waited outside a bar they had randomly selected from a list of such establishments. They stopped every 10th person who came out of the bar and asked whether he or she thought drinking and driving was a serious problem.

Population: all people who are of age to go to bars (adults) in this state/region
Population Parameter of Interest: the percent of adults who think drinking and driving is a serious problem
Sampling Frame: all people at the bar on that day/night (we could've potentially surveyed any person at the bar that night)
Sample: the people at the bar who we actually spoke to/surveyed (every 10th person who came out of the bar)
Sampling Method: we stopped every 10th person on their way out of the bar and surveyed them
Potential Sources of Bias/Problems that May Arise: in this case we're surveying people who are leaving a bar and are possibly about to drink and drive; this may overrepresent people who think drinking and driving isn't a serious issue

For more examples look at any of the odd problems 1-9 on page 289 and check your answers in the back of the book!


Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Quiz(zes) Tomorrow!

Tonight, STUDY! We will start class with our chapter 11 vocab quiz and our chapter 11 simulations quiz (procedure, simulate, conclusion)!

Here's the chapter 11 vocab list:
  • Random (Outcome)
  • Pseudorandom Number
  • Response Variable
  • Outcome
  • Component
  • Trial
  • Sample Survey
  • Simulation
  • Experiment (know what it is and that it's the only way to establish cause-and-effect)
  • Observational Study
  • Given a context identify the component, outcome, and response variable
And if you want some extra practice to get ready for the "design a simulation quiz" check these out:
  • Page 267: 11
  • Try the problem on the back of today's stamp....
  • Look in your Barron's book! Simulations fall under the "Probability" heading! Use the table of contents to find the simulation section!
    • In the 8th edition this starts on page 213!
  • Here's the answer to the problem on the back of the stamp so you can check yours:
    • Generate 2 digit numbers for 00-99.
    • For the first test, let 00-33 represent passing and 34-99 represent failing.
    • For subsequent tests (every test after the first), let 00-71 represent passing and let 72-99 represent failing.
    • Generate a random number. If the student passes, the trial is over. If the student fails, generate a second random number and determine if the student passed/failed on the second test. Never generate more than 2 random numbers.
    • Record whether or not the student has their license after 2 (or 1) attempts.
    • Repeat.
    • For your conclusion you will find a probability/percentage--find the percent of times a student had their license after 2 (or 1) attempts. (# of students who have their license within 2 attempts out of the total number of trials).
You'll have about 20ish minutes for your 2 quizzes (maybe 25), and then we'll start to discuss sample surveys! See you there!

Monday, January 9, 2017

Monday HW!

Monday Night's HW: Please complete the following in your textbook...

Page 267: 19, 21

  • For each, write a procedure, simulate (5 trials), then write a conclusion!
  • These are a bit trickier than the weekend hw!
  • For 19 we will have more than the 5 steps we saw in class--because the probability of passing the driving test changes after the first attempt, we will have two "breakdowns" (step 2); we will have to have a breakdown for numbers that represent passing for the first test, and this will then change for the following (subsequent) tests!
  • You can use the random number tables in the back of your book or use the tables below for your homework:



Tomorrow in class we'll do some more classwork/practice with simulations, and then on Wednesday we'll have our chapter 11 quiz! (First we'll do the chapter 11 vocab quiz, then we'll design a simulation)!

Here's the chapter 11 vocab list:
  • Random (Outcome)
  • Pseudorandom Number
  • Response Variable
  • Outcome
  • Component
  • Trial
  • Sample Survey
  • Simulation
  • Experiment (know what it is and that it's the only way to establish cause-and-effect)
  • Observational Study
  • Given a context identify the component, outcome, and response variable




Thursday, January 5, 2017

Weekend HW!

If you did not complete last night's homework (complete the 2015 FR then score it using the rubric) you can do so this weekend for full credit. Read the blog post below.

This weekend please complete the following in your textbook (some simulations practice!)

Page 266: 9bc, 13, 23, 25
  • For 9b, write a procedure! 
  • 9c asks you do describe/define the response variable--you likely answered this within your procedure, so you don't necessarily have to re-write this again
  • For 13, 23, and 25...
    • Write a procedure
    • Simulate--conduct 5 trials for each simulation!
    • Write a conclusion
  • Use the random number tables below for each question!
  • For 13:
    • The question asks, "what are the chances you get them all right?" So, you final answer for this simulation will not be an average, it will be a probability ("the chances")! Run your 5 trials and find the probability you get all six questions right (how many times did you get all 6 right out of the 5 trials?)
  • For 23:
    • For this question, we have 100 cards labeled with different with different "prizes." Remember, two digit #'s from 00-99 give us 100 different #'s, so we should use 2 digits here. In this case, when we give one of the $50 prizes away (for example), we cannot give that prize again--so for this simulation we'll have to ignore repeats! This is the first time we've seen this in a procedure!
  • For 25
    • Use the example from class to help with this simulation! We have a different "stopping rule," but it's a similar process.

How about some extra credit?
  • The video linked below describes the Monty Hall Problem--check it out!
  • You can also check out this link to ready more about this famous Statistics problem...
  • Here's the extra credit assignment:
    • In your own words, describe (in complete sentences) the context of this problem.
    • Then, in your own words, describe the "solution" to this problem.
    • In other words, write a few sentences summarizing what the Monty Hall problem is all about! Be detailed! 

And lastly, if you're feeling super ambitious, here's Monday night's homework--more simulations! You can use the same random number tables (above) for these if you like:

Page 267: 19, 21
  • For each, write a procedure, simulate (5 trials), then write a conclusion!
  • These are a bit trickier than the weekend hw!
  • For 19 we will have more than the 5 steps we saw in class--because the probability of passing the driving test changes after the first attempt, we will have two "breakdowns" (step 2); we will have to have a breakdown for numbers that represent passing for the first test, and this will then change for the following (subsequent) tests!


Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Weds HW (Midterm Review)

Tonight please complete the 2015 FR question provided in class (or below)! We actually had part (b) of this question on our unit 1 test! We didn't go over it back then b/c we said it would come back up as part of our midterm review--well here it is!

Please also be sure to SCORE your AP FR question using the rubric linked below. If you do not look at this answer key and score your response you will receive only half credit.

2015 Scoring Rubric (scroll down to #1 for an answer and scoring)


Tomorrow in class we'll continue to work with simulations! See you there!

Tuesday, January 3, 2017

Back to Work!

I hope you had an awesome day back!

If you were out today we started talking about methods of data collection--be sure to get the notes! Tomorrow and Thursday we'll be working with simulations--if you'll be out then, please read chapter 11 in your textbook to keep up!

Tonight, please complete the 3 multiple choice questions on the back of the classwork you got back today (or below)!
  • These questions are based on more probability! More specifically, they deal with expected value, variance, and random variables from chapter 16!