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Friday, February 22, 2019

Fri-yay!

Responsibility #1: Weekend HW 
  • Pages 446-448: 7, 8, 13abd, 27a, 31ac, 35, 38a
    • For 7,8: when it says, "for a given" or "for a fixed" or "for a specified" it means that values is staying the same...
      • So "for a given sample size," means, if n stays the same, "reducing ME will mean lower confidence"--T or F? (that's #8 a)
    • For 13a DON'T FORGET CONDITIONS!
    • For 27a consider the sample size(s)...
    • For 31ac....use today's notes/example from class!
      • What do you notice--how much larger of a sample did we need to cut the margin of error in half (from 6% to 3%)?
      • How could you have answered (c) without using the "finding n" formula?
    • For 35, more finding n--use today's notes/examples!
    • For 38a, "explain why the poll is actually inconclusive" means "explain why we cannot conclude that the amendment will win" (based on this poll and confidence interval) 

Responsibility #2 = Self-Assess Your Understanding of Confidence Intervals?
  • It is absolutely essential that you make sure you're on top of all this interval stuff--not only do we have a quiz on Wednesday, but we also know that these concepts will be repeated multiple times over the remainder of AP Stat!
  • What do I need to know about confidence intervals?
    • When/why do we create a confidence interval?
    • What symbol is a sample proportion/%? A population proportion %? (statistic v. parameter)
    • How do we identify/calculate x, n, and p-hat for a given context? 
    • What wording in a question suggests I have to create a CI?
    • How do I find the critical value for a given C. Level using...
      • t-table 
      • invnorm(
    • What is the full CI process?
      • How do I check conditions for a one prop z interval?
      • How do I do the math with my calculator and show the supporting formula? 
      • How do we interpret the meaning of a confidence interval?
    • How can we use our confidence intervals to assess some claim? (like 13d from the weekend hw)
    • What is ME? 
    • How can we calculate margin of error given a sample size, C. Level, and p-hat? 
    • How can we calculate sample size for a given ME?
    • How does changing n affect the ME? the width of an interval?
    • How does changing C. Level (and as a result, z*) affect the ME? the width of an interval?
    • How can we find the value of p-hat (a point estimate) only given an interval? (Monday's class)
    • How can we find the ME only given an interval? (Monday's class)
    • What does it mean to say "__% confident?"--how can we interpret the meaning of a confidence level? (Monday's class)
  • If you have any questions, things you're confused about, or just want a deeper understanding, take the time this weekend to use your resources!
    • Watch AP Stat Guy videos 6-9 in Unit 5 for some help!
    • Use Khan Academy--this is aligned with AP Stat!
      • Linked on the right WITH a course code
    • Google stuff--anything about one proportion z intervals!
  • Do this now! If you try to assess your own learning this weekend, then you have Monday/Tuesday to come see me for any help before our quiz--don't wait until it's too late?
Responsibility #3: Catch up on HW!

  • I will accept any/all chapter 19 (confidence interval) HW for full credit on Monday
  • You'll have to come show me before school/after school/during study hall if I don't have time to check in class....
  • Check PowerSchool to see if you're missing anything or have only partial credit (all grades are up to date)
  • AFTER MONDAY I WILL NOT ACCEPT ANY MORE LATE HW!



Today's Class Recap:
  • Stamp = finding n multiple choice
  • HW Q's: #37 and #11
    • Be sure to check the conditions for any "full interval" question (like last night's slide)
  • Ch. 19 Notes: 
    • How can we use a given ME to find sample size? (bottom right slide)
      • Solving an equation!
    • How does changing sample size and confidence level affect...
      • Margin of error?
      • the width of an interval?
      • (Created a table in our notes to summarize this info)

Next Week's Plan:
  • Monday: finish ch. 19 notes
    • Stamp = T/F (like 7, 8 from hw)
    • What is a point estimate?
    • How can we find the value of a point estimate and the margin of error only given an interval?
    • What does the confidence level actually mean?
  • Tuesday: finish any ch. 19 notes (if necessary), ch. 19 practice (FR?)
  • Wednesday: goal = ch. 19 quiz on this day, then intro to ch. 20 (hypothesis testing)
  • Thursday and Friday: ch. 20 notes (one proportion z tests)

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